NorthStarCanada–U.S. macro intelligence

Data refreshed Sep 25, 2026, 10:49 a.m. ET

Is labour utilization tightening or softening, and how are wage pressures evolving?

Unemployment is 6.4% in Canada and 4.1% in the U.S. as of Aug 2026.

Canada · Unemployment rate (LFS)
6.40%
Aug 20260 pp vs prior
U.S. · Unemployment rate
4.10%
Aug 20260 pp vs prior
Canada · Employment (LFS)
-41.70thousands m/m chg
Aug 2026−116.8 vs prior
U.S. · Nonfarm payrolls
162.0thousands m/m chg
Aug 2026+141 vs prior
Canada · Average hourly wages (LFS)
1.96%y/y
Aug 2026−0.84 pp vs prior
U.S. · Average hourly earnings
3.09%y/y
Aug 2026−0.15 pp vs prior

Unemployment rate

  • Canada: Unemployment rate (LFS) (%)
  • U.S.: Unemployment rate (%)

Participation rate

  • Canada: Participation rate (LFS) (%)
  • U.S.: Participation rate (%)

Monthly employment change (thousands)

  • Canada: Employment (LFS) (thousands m/m chg)
  • U.S.: Nonfarm payrolls (thousands m/m chg)

Canada: Labour Force Survey. U.S.: nonfarm payrolls. Pandemic months dominate the full history.

Wage growth, year over year

  • Canada: Average hourly wages (LFS) (% y/y)
  • U.S.: Average hourly earnings (% y/y)

Canada: LFS average hourly wages, all employees (unadjusted, so compare year over year only). U.S.: average hourly earnings, private payrolls. Both shift with the mix of jobs, not just pay rates.

Real wage growth

  • Canada: Real wage growth (wages minus CPI) (% y/y)
  • U.S.: Real wage growth (earnings minus CPI) (% y/y)

Wage growth minus headline CPI inflation, in percentage points. Positive readings support consumer spending.

Job openings per unemployed person

  • Canada: Job vacancies per unemployed person (ratio)
  • U.S.: Job openings per unemployed person (ratio)

Vacancies divided by unemployed persons (Canada: Job Vacancy and Wage Survey and LFS; U.S.: JOLTS). Above 1 (dashed) means more vacancies than job seekers.

U.S. quits rate vs wage growth

  • U.S.: Quits rate (JOLTS) (%)
  • U.S.: Average hourly earnings (% y/y), right axis

Workers quit more when they are confident of finding better pay; the quits rate tends to lead wage growth by a few months.

Jobless benefit claims

  • Canada: EI initial and renewal claims (monthly) (persons)
  • U.S.: Initial jobless claims (weekly avg) (persons), right axis

Canada: EI initial and renewal claims received per month. U.S.: initial claims, average per week (right axis). The most timely layoff signals; a sustained rise usually precedes higher unemployment.